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Red49
61423.7
632621.1
580431.5
Blue101
859241.8
680225.1
572417.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708020406010012049101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
33Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points12
49Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#12
31.52.6
22.019.4
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
blue by 10.3
41.81.1
31.933.0
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
Second
614
#17
23.72.6
18.215.6
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End1.7
blue by 1.4
6802
#13
25.11.1
17.818.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
6326
#31
21.12.6
21.018.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
red by 3.6
5724
#24
17.61.1
18.119.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned