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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557820406010012028110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+64
Endgame+74
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +56
3Coral scored#12
12Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
12Total teleop68
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points8
28Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.13.0
22.719.7
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
blue by 28.6
53.83.2
37.340.6
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
Second
9214
#19
14.83.0
10.67.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 6.6
1262
#29
21.33.2
20.423.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
4472
#26
12.73.0
15.412.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 5.8
617
#32
6.93.2
10.013.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned