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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456402040801003629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
27Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
36Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#10
22.10.6
24.824.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
blue by 7.4
29.52.5
25.022.5
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Second
2998
#18
14.20.6
12.211.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
red by 0.6
13.52.5
17.715.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
3361
#25
5.90.6
4.13.5
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
red by 0.6
2988
#33
5.32.5
8.86.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed