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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736002040801001207151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#3
31Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
37Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points18
71Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.8
29.028.2
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
red by 6.1
836
#7
29.02.7
34.231.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
Second
4575
#11
21.21.3
19.918.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End0.5
red by 3.3
3072
#25
18.02.7
13.310.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Third
619
#17
17.01.3
16.214.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 2.3
6882
#21
14.72.7
9.66.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed