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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92470204060801001201409613

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+71Teleop
+71Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +58
11Coral scored#0
38Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
58Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#0
6L3#0
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
18Foul points6
96Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#3
45.60.1
27.427.4
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 30.2
15.34.5
19.915.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
31.50.1
30.430.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
red by 19.9
2068
#27
11.64.5
17.613.1
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Third
122
#19
25.40.1
21.121.0
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
red by 17.4
8.04.5
9.75.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed