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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6179020401001205799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+58
Endgame+56
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +45
6Coral scored#15
23Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
31Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
14Foul points0
57Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#10
36.92.3
22.320.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
blue by 19.6
422
#1
56.53.1
31.935.0
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
Second
2363
#14
25.02.3
25.423.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
blue by 15.0
401
#5
39.93.1
25.128.2
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
Third
1793
#23
11.82.3
9.87.6
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 9.3
2998
#18
21.01.9
13.715.6
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed