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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6768204060801006686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
47Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points0
66Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.9
28.928.0
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
red by 6.9
977
#8
28.12.1
23.225.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Second
1908
#12
22.40.9
16.715.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
blue by 3.3
2028
#16
25.72.1
22.524.5
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
Third
3939
#24
20.40.9
17.516.6
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3
blue by 5.1
25.61.2
15.616.8
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed