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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32510204060801001558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
1Coral scored#5
5Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
5Total teleop21
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points14
15Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3359
#26
15.82.0
8.46.5
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
blue by 15.7
31.50.2
30.330.1
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Second
6882
#21
14.72.0
6.94.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 2.4
4286
#13
12.40.1
2.52.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
2890
#15
12.92.0
17.615.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 1.3
2068
#27
11.60.2
13.112.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned