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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559402040801201401606791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+16
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
12Foul points6
67Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.1
28.228.1
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
blue by 4.9
401
#5
39.90.1
28.228.1
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
Second
3072
#25
18.00.2
10.610.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 11.0
836
#7
29.00.1
31.531.4
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
Third
15.30.2
15.415.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 9.6
2363
#14
25.00.1
23.223.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned