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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527302040608010066118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points18
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +37
8Coral scored#15
30Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
40Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points8
66Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.4
16.817.3
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
blue by 20.0
346
#3
45.62.7
27.430.1
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
Second
3939
#24
20.40.7
16.617.3
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3
blue by 16.5
2534
#10
36.94.5
20.024.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
Third
619
#17
17.00.7
14.815.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
blue by 5.4
1908
#12
22.44.5
15.820.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed