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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310020406080100120567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +32
6Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
32Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
2L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#0
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points0
56Total score7

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#8
28.11.1
25.324.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 12.3
3359
#26
15.81.0
6.55.4
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Second
4575
#11
21.21.1
18.617.5
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End0.5
red by 8.9
4286
#13
12.40.6
2.31.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
2890
#15
12.91.1
15.614.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 1.1
1793
#23
11.81.0
7.66.5
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed