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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66762040601001207196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
44Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
6Foul points8
71Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#16
25.70.4
24.525.0
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
blue by 30.7
422
#1
56.52.2
35.037.2
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
Second
122
#19
25.40.4
21.021.4
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
blue by 9.5
34.92.2
28.030.2
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
Third
2998
#18
21.00.3
15.615.9
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
red by 13.1
8.02.2
5.27.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned