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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9260020408010012014088112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+28
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#15
35Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
59Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#8
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
4Foul points0
88Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.6
30.130.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
blue by 14.1
346
#3
45.63.6
30.133.7
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
Second
836
#7
29.00.6
31.432.0
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
red by 4.1
2363
#14
25.06.0
23.129.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
Third
3939
#24
20.40.6
17.317.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3
red by 5.7
6882
#21
14.76.0
4.910.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned