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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27470204060801479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+47
Endgame+47
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
2Coral scored#7
7Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
7Total teleop34
Reef
0L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points18
14Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3072
#25
18.01.6
10.48.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 18.9
2534
#10
36.92.1
24.626.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
Second
3359
#26
15.81.6
5.43.8
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
blue by 1.3
619
#17
17.02.1
15.617.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
2068
#27
11.61.6
12.911.3
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 0.8
4286
#13
12.41.3
1.73.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed