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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815820401001208859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+13Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
59Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
18Foul points2
88Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.2
30.230.0
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
blue by 0.1
35.10.1
28.128.1
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
Second
977
#8
28.10.2
24.324.1
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 2.7
122
#19
25.40.1
21.421.5
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
Third
25.60.1
17.317.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
red by 13.8
1793
#23
11.80.1
6.56.6
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed