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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63692040801001209569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+44Teleop
+34Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
58Total teleop17
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#1
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
12Foul points20
95Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#10
36.92.3
29.131.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
red by 11.2
2028
#16
25.71.4
24.723.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
Second
122
#19
25.42.3
22.324.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
red by 0.4
2363
#14
25.01.4
23.121.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
Third
2890
#15
12.92.3
7.69.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.4
blue by 1.8
6882
#21
14.71.4
15.714.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned