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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309402040608012014016054101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+49
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +38
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
36Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
54Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#12
22.41.6
22.423.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
blue by 17.5
401
#5
39.92.0
34.436.3
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
Second
4286
#13
12.41.1
4.35.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
blue by 22.6
34.92.0
28.730.7
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
Third
2068
#27
11.61.6
10.912.5
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 9.7
4575
#11
21.22.0
17.619.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed