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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356802060801001204785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+28
Endgame+36
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
35Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points2
47Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
#24
20.40.9
14.915.8
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3
blue by 14.7
35.11.5
28.630.2
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
Second
3072
#25
18.00.9
12.012.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 13.5
31.52.2
24.226.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Third
1793
#23
11.80.9
10.311.3
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 3.8
8.02.2
7.09.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned