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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1114501001509650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+48Teleop
+52Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points22
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
69Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points6
96Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#3
45.60.6
41.140.5
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 24.5
2998
#18
21.00.9
19.218.4
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
Second
836
#7
29.00.9
29.228.4
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
red by 12.0
619
#17
17.01.3
17.516.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
977
#8
28.10.9
26.725.9
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 12.3
3359
#26
15.81.3
11.410.1
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed