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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665902040801001201401609661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
64Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
96Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
56.53.1
42.245.3
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 30.9
25.60.2
20.821.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Second
15.33.1
11.214.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 10.1
122
#19
25.40.3
24.624.9
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
Third
2890
#15
12.92.9
9.912.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 1.3
2068
#27
11.60.3
12.512.8
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned