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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67812040601001201406790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
54Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points12
67Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#7
29.00.4
28.428.7
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
blue by 10.9
401
#5
39.90.4
36.336.7
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
Second
2998
#18
21.00.3
18.418.6
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
blue by 7.0
977
#8
28.10.4
25.926.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Third
619
#17
17.00.4
16.216.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 5.3
1793
#23
11.80.4
11.311.7
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed