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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8650020406010012014016012894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+30Teleop
+22Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
97Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
12Foul points0
128Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#10
36.92.6
31.434.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
red by 5.4
31.52.8
26.429.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Second
34.92.6
30.733.3
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
red by 19.2
3359
#26
15.82.8
10.112.9
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Third
6882
#21
14.72.6
14.316.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 0.6
15.32.8
14.317.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned