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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74532040601001201408731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
44Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
18Foul points6
87Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#3
45.60.2
40.740.9
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 23.1
1908
#12
22.42.2
23.921.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Second
15.30.2
17.117.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 0.6
6882
#21
14.72.2
16.914.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
4286
#13
12.40.2
8.99.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 4.4
8.02.2
10.88.6
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed