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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118715010015012891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave3
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
74Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#6
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points2
128Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
39.91.5
36.738.2
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
red by 8.4
31.51.5
29.230.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Second
2534
#10
36.91.5
34.035.5
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
red by 8.8
977
#8
28.11.5
26.327.8
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Third
35.11.2
30.431.6
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
red by 19.3
3359
#26
15.81.5
12.914.4
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed