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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977720406012014016018011077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
60Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
6Foul points0
110Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
56.51.3
50.151.3
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 21.5
34.90.3
33.333.6
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
Second
2028
#16
25.71.3
23.324.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
red by 0.8
2363
#14
25.00.3
25.225.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
Third
619
#17
17.01.1
15.216.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
blue by 1.0
3072
#25
18.00.3
14.915.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned