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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77600204010012014011650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
61Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
26Foul points0
116Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#7
29.01.5
28.129.6
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
red by 3.6
122
#19
25.40.7
26.926.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
Second
1908
#12
22.41.5
21.823.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
red by 7.1
15.30.7
17.316.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Third
2998
#18
21.01.3
20.321.6
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
red by 6.3
6882
#21
14.70.7
14.714.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned