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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68530204060801001201406166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+9
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#9
30Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
40Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points2
61Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#10
36.90.7
35.534.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
red by 11.3
25.60.6
26.226.9
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Second
3359
#26
15.80.7
14.413.7
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
red by 2.9
2890
#15
12.90.7
11.512.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
8.00.7
8.68.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 3.8
1793
#23
11.80.7
11.111.8
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed