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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83740501001502002506677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
29Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
12Foul points20
66Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.92.3
31.228.9
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
blue by 0.1
35.10.8
29.829.0
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
Second
122
#19
25.42.3
23.321.1
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
blue by 3.6
836
#7
29.01.3
35.534.2
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
Third
2068
#27
11.62.3
19.917.6
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 0.8
4286
#13
12.40.8
3.22.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned