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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6769204060801009760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
10Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
73Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
12Foul points6
97Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#3
45.61.1
26.427.4
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 8.7
2534
#10
36.91.1
23.422.3
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
Second
2028
#16
25.71.8
20.722.5
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
red by 4.7
2998
#18
21.00.7
14.413.7
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
Third
2890
#15
12.91.8
15.817.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.4
blue by 2.5
15.31.1
21.019.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed