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Red85
408939.9
889616.4
297622.1
Blue64
1007938.7
944620.6
83039.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677340506080901008564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+25Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points4
22Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
63Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
85Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.91.6
30.532.1
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
red by 1.2
38.70.1
30.730.6
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End1.1
Second
2976
#23
22.11.6
19.220.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
red by 1.6
9446
#30
20.60.1
18.318.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Third
8896
#28
16.42.7
11.213.9
Auto2.8
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 7.2
8303
#32
9.20.2
16.816.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed