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Red73
803232.9
1045524.4
903637.7
Blue159
292916.0
593737.5
177878.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621285010015020073159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+82
Endgame+82
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points26
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +69
9Coral scored#25
32Coral points89
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
42Total teleop111
Reef
5L4#14
4L3#8
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
2Foul points6
73Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#15
37.70.4
27.828.2
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
blue by 41.2
78.92.9
68.371.3
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
Second
8032
#22
32.90.4
20.521.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
blue by 4.6
5937
#12
37.52.9
23.426.3
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4
Third
24.40.4
16.416.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.8
red by 8.5
2929
#13
16.02.9
17.320.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsEarned