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Qual 182025 PNW District Bonney Lake Event
Red35
805119.7
339316.1
321843.4
Blue124
468236.3
290330.4
594123.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847105010015020035124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+87
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +77
4Coral scored#15
14Coral points55
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
0Processor points12
4Net points28
4Algae points40
18Total teleop95
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
35Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#10
43.42.6
40.7→38.1
Auto12.1
Teleop29.8
End1.6
red by 7.2
4682
#6
36.33.8
24.9→28.7
Auto8.5
Teleop26.0
End1.7
Second
8051
#20
19.74.4
18.9→14.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.7
blue by 10.7
2903
#27
30.43.8
23.3→27.0
Auto4.1
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Third
3393
#21
16.12.6
14.6→12.0
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 7.7
5941
#19
23.83.8
19.0→22.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed