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Red69
635020.8
1007938.7
889616.4
Blue19
83039.2
94914.5
746125.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654602040801001206919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+42Teleop
+40Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
25Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
6Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
30Total teleop4
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
10Foul points0
69Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.1
30.630.5
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End1.1
red by 13.5
25.21.9
19.817.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
Second
6350
#14
20.80.1
16.216.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 6.4
949
#25
14.51.9
10.68.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Third
8896
#28
16.40.2
13.913.7
Auto2.8
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 7.2
8303
#32
9.23.1
16.613.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed