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Red102
944252.8
445023.3
298021.2
Blue45
594116.2
292916.1
339314.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1093605010015010245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+53Teleop
+51Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
13Coral scored#6
48Coral points23
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
76Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#2
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
6Foul points0
102Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.80.3
48.648.9
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
red by 36.6
5941
#32
16.20.1
14.915.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Second
4450
#13
23.30.3
23.423.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
red by 7.2
2929
#33
16.10.1
13.313.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
2980
#30
21.20.3
20.120.5
Auto3.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
red by 6.4
3393
#26
14.80.1
15.415.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed