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Red78
451219.4
1049818.4
1007929.1
Blue82
36047.1
491815.3
491131.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5810302040801201401607882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
61Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
78Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.7
25.126.8
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
blue by 18.0
360
#7
47.11.0
46.945.9
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
Second
4512
#31
19.41.7
16.618.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
blue by 11.8
4911
#25
31.21.0
30.829.9
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
Third
18.41.7
16.017.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.7
red by 3.1
4918
#18
15.31.0
16.115.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed