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Red171
791546.7
282641.2
162560.8
Blue70
878214.4
130651.1
514822.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158605010015020017170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+89Teleop
+101Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +75
24Coral scored#10
86Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
122Total teleop47
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#4
7L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
0Foul points0
171Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.84.0
49.953.9
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
red by 9.7
1306
#10
51.12.0
41.539.6
Auto10.7
Teleop36.1
End4.3
Second
7915
#23
46.75.4
25.330.7
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
red by 24.3
5148
#44
22.42.0
23.121.2
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Third
41.24.0
26.730.7
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
red by 26.8
8782
#41
14.43.3
15.612.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned