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Red158
93047.1
235827.1
250650.1
Blue55
283036.5
207724.5
1043016.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058505015020025015855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+83Teleop
+103Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
29Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +60
24Coral scored#9
87Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
105Total teleop45
Reef
8L4#4
10L3#2
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
0Foul points0
158Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.14.0
35.939.9
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
red by 13.6
2830
#24
36.52.9
35.532.6
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
Second
930
#20
47.13.6
33.737.3
Auto11.5
Teleop30.9
End4.6
red by 22.5
2077
#46
24.52.3
27.024.7
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Third
27.13.6
23.627.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2
red by 11.1
16.13.9
16.412.5
Auto2.1
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed