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Red123
1028731.1
884728.6
250650.1
Blue130
359620.9
514822.4
220244.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010590100120130140123130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
15Coral scored#21
55Coral points75
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
87Total teleop109
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#29
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
123Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.11.4
39.040.4
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
red by 5.2
44.91.8
40.442.2
Auto9.0
Teleop33.1
End2.8
Second
31.12.3
27.930.2
Auto5.4
Teleop23.5
End2.3
red by 8.7
5148
#44
22.41.8
19.621.3
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Third
8847
#40
28.62.3
22.324.6
Auto1.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
red by 7.7
3596
#36
20.91.8
22.223.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed