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Red108
125949.4
509618.1
976015.8
Blue100
791546.7
235827.1
478724.6
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411250150200108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
74Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
108Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#12
49.40.9
38.739.7
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
red by 2.7
7915
#23
46.70.6
32.632.0
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Second
5096
#34
18.11.6
19.721.3
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.8
blue by 9.0
27.10.4
28.728.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2
Third
9760
#42
15.81.6
20.422.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 8.8
4787
#30
24.60.4
28.027.7
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned