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Red27
802918.8
341815.8
53740.5
Blue94
93047.1
1043016.1
219443.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091040501502002503002794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+65
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +54
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
16Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
27Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#14
40.54.3
47.643.3
Auto5.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
blue by 6.6
930
#20
47.10.1
38.338.3
Auto11.5
Teleop30.9
End4.6
Second
8029
#43
18.84.3
23.319.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 24.8
2194
#22
43.60.1
40.440.5
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3
Third
3418
#37
15.84.3
20.716.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.1
blue by 0.2
16.10.1
14.514.6
Auto2.1
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed