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Red101
622356.4
790017.7
204044.6
Blue117
478656.9
429626.8
282641.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129125050100150200250300101117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
8Coral scored#7
40Coral points37
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
55Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points4
101Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6223
#13
56.41.1
53.252.1
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
blue by 0.5
56.90.1
50.150.0
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
Second
44.61.1
40.139.0
Auto9.5
Teleop28.8
End6.3
red by 3.4
41.20.1
31.731.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
Third
7900
#45
17.71.1
21.820.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 9.1
4296
#32
26.80.1
30.830.6
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed