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Red98
429626.8
665133.0
341815.8
Blue139
173275.5
53740.5
70626.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8516305010015020025098139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+25
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave0
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points33
13Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
85Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#8
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
98Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6651
#25
33.00.4
34.034.4
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End1.0
blue by 42.5
75.50.5
69.468.9
Auto18.8
Teleop46.1
End10.6
Second
4296
#32
26.80.4
30.631.0
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End2.2
blue by 13.7
537
#14
40.50.5
43.342.8
Auto5.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
Third
3418
#37
15.80.4
16.416.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.1
blue by 10.7
706
#18
26.50.5
22.922.4
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned