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Red118
130651.1
9345.6
359620.9
Blue168
204044.6
179251.0
93047.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514650100200118168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +37
19Coral scored#18
69Coral points66
1Processor algae#5
2Net algae#6
6Processor points30
8Net points24
14Algae points54
83Total teleop120
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#4
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
118Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#10
51.10.4
45.946.3
Auto10.7
Teleop36.1
End4.3
red by 0.1
1792
#16
51.02.4
48.150.5
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End5.8
Second
93
#5
45.60.4
42.542.9
Auto8.3
Teleop30.9
End6.3
blue by 1.5
930
#20
47.12.4
41.343.7
Auto11.5
Teleop30.9
End4.6
Third
3596
#36
20.90.4
21.421.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End1.3
blue by 23.7
44.62.4
39.742.1
Auto9.5
Teleop28.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned