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Red92
167535.1
478724.6
478656.9
Blue119
874446.3
70626.5
9345.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13413005010020025030035040092119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+11
Endgame+33
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points33
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
6Foul points0
92Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.92.1
53.551.4
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
red by 10.6
8744
#11
46.30.2
44.144.3
Auto9.1
Teleop32.6
End4.6
Second
1675
#35
35.12.1
34.832.7
Auto3.1
Teleop25.3
End6.7
blue by 10.5
93
#5
45.60.2
45.145.3
Auto8.3
Teleop30.9
End6.3
Third
4787
#30
24.62.1
26.224.1
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.9
blue by 1.9
706
#18
26.50.2
23.924.1
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned