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Red76
373428.1
878214.4
359620.9
Blue98
1052219.5
509618.1
665133.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87940501502007698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
61Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points8
76Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3734
#19
28.10.8
29.528.7
Auto5.0
Teleop21.7
End1.4
blue by 4.8
6651
#25
33.00.1
32.332.3
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End1.0
Second
3596
#36
20.90.5
19.318.8
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End1.3
red by 1.4
19.50.1
21.221.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
8782
#41
14.40.8
19.118.3
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 3.7
5096
#34
18.10.1
21.921.9
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed