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Red175
514822.4
173275.5
179251.0
Blue152
219443.6
942530.7
623741.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16611450100150200250175152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +9
22Coral scored#24
80Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
114Total teleop105
Reef
14L4#9
4L3#10
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
175Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.51.2
71.472.6
Auto18.8
Teleop46.1
End10.6
red by 31.9
2194
#22
43.62.1
36.939.0
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3
Second
1792
#16
51.01.2
48.649.8
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End5.8
red by 9.7
6237
#17
41.32.1
37.940.0
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2
Third
5148
#44
22.41.2
20.621.8
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.7
blue by 8.3
9425
#33
30.72.9
27.930.7
Auto6.8
Teleop20.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned