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Red97
53740.5
270433.8
809620.4
Blue102
622356.4
976015.8
478724.6
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10611305015020097102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+13Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
17Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
80Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +18
0Cage & park18
0Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
97Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#14
40.50.4
40.140.5
Auto5.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
blue by 15.9
6223
#13
56.40.5
53.554.0
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
Second
2704
#29
33.80.4
30.931.3
Auto7.6
Teleop25.7
End0.5
red by 9.2
4787
#30
24.60.5
24.124.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.9
Third
8096
#39
20.40.4
20.020.4
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End1.7
red by 4.6
9760
#42
15.80.7
16.717.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned