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Red109
130651.1
790017.7
283036.5
Blue107
9345.6
125949.4
802918.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013250100150200109107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points17
22Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
55Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points2
109Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#10
51.10.2
49.049.3
Auto10.7
Teleop36.1
End4.3
red by 1.7
1259
#12
49.40.6
48.748.1
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
Second
2830
#24
36.50.2
32.933.1
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
blue by 9.1
93
#5
45.60.6
45.344.8
Auto8.3
Teleop30.9
End6.3
Third
7900
#45
17.70.2
17.417.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 1.1
8029
#43
18.80.6
19.318.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned