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Qual 742025 Wisconsin Regional presented by GE HealthCare
Red166
220244.9
250650.1
880231.9
Blue147
162560.8
235827.1
167535.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134131100110120140150160170166147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+29Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points26
25Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +30
24Coral scored#18
85Coral points63
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
24Processor points12
16Net points20
40Algae points32
125Total teleop95
Reef
11L4#11
8L3#4
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
166Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#8
50.12.9
42.5→45.4
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
blue by 10.7
1625
#7
60.81.5
56.8→58.3
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
Second
2202
#3
44.92.9
40.7→43.6
Auto9.0
Teleop33.1
End2.8
red by 9.9
1675
#35
35.11.5
32.7→34.2
Auto3.1
Teleop25.3
End6.7
Third
8802
#28
31.93.9
28.1→31.9
Auto7.7
Teleop23.4
End0.8
red by 4.8
2358
#6
27.11.5
23.2→24.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned