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Red165
93047.1
874446.3
657454.9
Blue41
1028731.1
878214.4
509618.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165825010015020025016541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+104Teleop
+124Endgame
+124Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +83
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points20
3Processor algae#0
10Net algae#2
18Processor points0
40Net points8
58Algae points8
111Total teleop28
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#1
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#8
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +124
0Foul points0
165Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#21
54.91.2
49.750.9
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 23.8
31.13.8
34.931.1
Auto5.4
Teleop23.5
End2.3
Second
930
#20
47.11.2
44.745.9
Auto11.5
Teleop30.9
End4.6
red by 29.0
5096
#34
18.13.8
21.918.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Third
8744
#11
46.31.2
44.345.5
Auto9.1
Teleop32.6
End4.6
red by 31.9
8782
#41
14.43.8
18.314.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed